Photo montage

 

The drowning of the great continent that had been spread out below filled the eye. Ocean roared in upon it with still more furious waves. The plains and the level lands were foaming lakes. The great city of Atlantis had vanished eternally. The mountains alone kept their heads above the flood....

—C. J. Cutliffe Hyne, The Lost Continent (1899)

 

DAYLIGHT, The Sea Comes In: Farewell, Atlantis

 

Nearly all scientists are currently in agreement that climate change, even as quickly as it is occurring, will not produce flooding of major cities within the next 20 years. However, for the purposes of this story line, the increase in solar temperature, combined with the release of trapped methane (clathrates) in subpolar regions and ocean warming (hence thermal expansion) will produce dramatic melting of all ice fields on the planet and an equally catastrophic rise in sea level, progressing at an exponential rate at great speed.

In the first year after Zero Hour, melting of glaciers, snow caps, and polar ice will occur at a swifter pace than before, though only those living near glaciers and the like (or living downstream from the runoff) will notice the change. The defrosting of tundra and the release of methane from permafrost (for our purposes) will speed up the process. The release of such methane is believed to have occurred at least once before in Earth's history, during the Eocene period soon after the dinosaurs died out. This long-ago methane release (probably a result of vulcanism) also led to worldwide flooding, though at a much slower pace than is projected here.

Sea-level rise in DAYLIGHT will progress more or less at the following rate. Note that a rise of 15 cm in the first year is about 6 inches; coastal people might notice this (in very low-lying areas like New Orleans, Florida, or eastern Texas), or they might not. Maximum thermal expansion of ocean water is assumed to occur about 15 years after Zero Hour, raising the level even further. For the sake of argument, 100 meters is taken to be the maximum level the oceans will rise given all relevant factors.

 

Years AfterTotal Sea-Level
Zero HourRise (Meters)
1.15
2.3
3.6
41.25
52.5
65
710
820
940
1080
15100

 

The rise in sea level will additionally have a dramatic effect on global climate, which is addressed elsewhere.

 

BACKGROUND LINKS

Sea level rise (Wikipedia overview)

Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum: (Wikipedia) Global warming 55 million years ago.

Subtropic Arctic during the Eocene: (BBC) You could comfortably go swimming at the North Pole.

Clathrate Gun Hypothesis (Wikipedia): More on the theory that methane release can warm the Earth quite effectively. (See also this link.)

Reports on sea level rise (U.S. EPA): The many consequences of global flooding.

Sea Level Home (Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics) Detailed impact of sea level rise.

Ice-sheet melting faster than once believed (Science Daily): The mechanics of ice-sheet melting are complex (and advance very quickly).

 

MAP LINKS

Lands Vulnerable to Sea Level Rise: (U.S. EPA) U.S. east coast up to 3.5 meters.

Sea-level rise globes (U.S. NOAA): World at 1.5 and 6 meters.

Dynamic sea-level rise maps (U. of Arizona, Dept. of Geosciences): World and U.S. east coast, up to 6 meters at 1-meter intervals.

Global Sea Level Rise Map: (Geology.com) World up to 14 meters in 1-meter intervals.

Sea level rise maps (Firetree.net): World up to 14 meters in 1-meter intervals.

Sea Level Rise Explorer: (Global Warming Art) World sea-level rise at 1, 2, 4, 7, 20, 35, 50, and 70 meters.

Maps for "An End to Global Warming" (Dave Pape) North American east coast at 1, 3, 10, 30, and 100 meters, and the world up to 100 meters.

 

 

Back to DAYLIGHT home page

 

Last updated 06/04/2010

 

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